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The Revolution Continues's avatar

"No nation is immune from incompetence and corruption in its leadership, military, and industry, and the Iranians may be as bad off as the Americans are in that regard. Regardless, the expectation should be that the Iranians have taken the threat from the US seriously and are ready for it."

As well as Iran should have taken it seriously. If the US starts a war with Iran (and its allies in BRICS), they will have bitten off more than they can chew. Expect the US to get chewed up and then spit out. That's why it's imperative for the US to never go to war with Iran. We really don't know what we're getting ourselves into and by the time we do, it will be too late.

Israelwillprevail's avatar

You are not aware of the current affairs of state

Gene Marx's avatar

You're right Matt. A direct conflict with Iran would be suicidal. The neocons in charge though - Biden doesn't know what day it is - are giddy to pull the trigger. I've been expecting to see a direct hit on a U.S. warship.

Matthew Hoh's avatar

And many in DC would welcome such a hit on a US ship as it would be reason for more war.

Gene Marx's avatar

A Gulf of Tonkin incident on steroids.

Israelwillprevail's avatar

Matt we will fuck Iran up no question what is your position at all? You sound uninformed

wdt parker's avatar

Just finished watching a PBS documentary from 1992, "The Cuban Missile Crisis: At the Brink." The differences between the people who called the shots then and those in command now are striking. It's clear neither side was bluffing or posturing for the world's press, but also that all involved were looking for a way out of the pending crisis, rather precipitating one, which has been US foreign/military policy since Reagan was in office.

I'm old enough (70) to be able to look back and say "I miss the Cold War" which was waged by professionals on both sides, not by political appointees and military hacks. I felt safer then than I do now.

Matthew Hoh's avatar

Thank you! I'll look for that documentary.

My first year in college, 1991, was the year the Soviet flag came down from over the Kremlin. Things in this new world order certainly did not transpire the way we had hoped.

wdt parker's avatar

... or were promised. Still waiting on my Peace Dividend and a thriving democratic Russia.

Henry Ensher's avatar

Given the domestic pressures in the US, a response is inevitable. Trick is to make the Iranian regime worry even more than usual about its existence, without triggering an eschatological response. Strikes on IRGC targets would do that without angering too much the Iranian population, which has problems of its own with the Guard. The issue is inside Iran or other targets - given that the Persian imperialists care little about their agents, strikes have to be on Iranian targets to significantly affect their calculations.

Matthew Hoh's avatar

Hi Henry. I appreciate very much that you read this. That is quite a trick to pull off and a dangerous one at that.

I hope you and your family are well.

Penelope Prill's avatar

Perfecttitle!

Jazzme's avatar

when will this end

it must end it will end but how

Penelope Prill's avatar

Brilliant analysis. Thank you.

Matthew Hoh's avatar

Thank you Penelope

Jeff Rudisill's avatar

Would Naval Support Activity Bahrain NSA Bahrain be within range of an Iranian response?

Penelope Prill's avatar

Absolutely 💯 💯 💯 💯

Matthew Hoh's avatar

Hi Jeff, yes, I would expect so. Hopefully, it would not reach that point but US forces in Bahrain could be expected to be hit.

Israelwillprevail's avatar

Like put it all on fake ass alah and Iran its over

Israelwillprevail's avatar

We will moo the floor with you Arab bastards God doesn't exist and you justify your rape and killing bu fake people u. The sky.. you are the downfall of humanity ....all religions